Population Projection Statistics

Technical Notes on the 2000 Census-Based Population Projections

The 2000 Census-Based Population Projections basically utilizes the Cohort-component Method. This methodology relies on the fact that population change is the result of three demographic processes namely: fertility, mortality and migration. The last component, migration, is not considered at the national level of population projections since it is assumed that international migration has as yet very little effect on the national total population.

Philippine Population Would Reach Over 140 Million by the Year 2040 (Final Results from the 2000 Census-based Population Projections)

The Philippine population would continue to grow, increasing from 76.5 million, as of the latest population census conducted in May 2000, to 141.7 million in 2040, according to the Medium Series of the 2000 Census-based population projections. This means that 65 million people would be added to the nation's population between 2000 and 2040, which is a span of 40 years, even if the average annual growth rate is projected to drastically decline from 2.34 percent during the 1990-2000 period to around 1.0 percent during the 2030-2040 period. The population is projected to grow by 1.95 percent in the 2005-2010 period, from 85.3 million in 2005 to 94.0 million in 2010.

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